Adopt a path with time-bound, stoppable capacity stabilization and migration evidence gates; until the root cause is quantified (U1) and dependencies and recovery paths are known (U2), do not lock unverified dependencies into a large-scale one-time cutover — use staged evidence to decide whether to expand scope
Decision owner in the teaching simulationChair of the Digital Commerce Risk Committee, independent teaching simulation
Human-controlled next action
The chair directs the platform reliability team to produce, within a set deadline, a breakdown quantification of failure root causes per F2/U1 and the dependency/recovery paths (U2), as the gate criteria for deciding whether to launch full-scale modernization
What would reverse the recommendation
If, during the evidence-gate evaluation, U3 shows the time window available from short-term stabilization measures is too short to complete the quantification work in U1 and U2, the decision should flip early to directly evaluate the full-scale modernization path, in order to avoid the risk described in F4 of ending up with neither option achieved
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